Rotherham United 4-2 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.64
Over
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.46
2-3
42%
1.71
4-5
19%
4.28
6+
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.05
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
14%
5.49
X/2
10%
5.33
X/X
15%
4.07
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
15%
3.86
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic The Market 39%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.63/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.22
+24% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
230 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 71%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
26.7 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.83 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
237 Passes 196
66% Pass Accuracy 59%
21 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
09.04.2022 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
02.11.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
02.04.2018 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 3-1 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
26.08.2017 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
30.01.2016 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-4 HT 1-2 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
4-2
AWAY Charlton Athletic
2.30 xG 1.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
188 Passes 188
59% Pass Accuracy 62%
31 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotherham United got the better of Charlton Athletic 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Rotherham United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rotherham United had 51% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 49%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.30 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rotherham United and 2.00 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Charlton Athletic?

Rotherham United 4-2 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 38%, draw 30%, Charlton Athletic 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rotherham United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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