AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.64
Over
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No Pick
52%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2.5
2-3
40%
1.71
4-5
25%
4.2
6+
10%
21.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
13%
16.65
X/1
21%
3.79
X/2
8%
10.6
X/X
9%
4.59
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
8%
9.67
2/X
6%
18.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
41%
+6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
59%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Wimbledon The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers The Market 21%
-22% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.62/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.62
-3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
338 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 65%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
25.3 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.40 xG 1.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
235 Passes 278
63% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2024 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
30.09.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 4-1 HT 2-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
29.04.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-1 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
19.11.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
21.12.2019 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
28.03.2015 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
2-0
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.42 xG 0.63
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
389 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW AFC Wimbledon vs Tranmere Rovers
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AFC Wimbledon put daylight between themselves and Tranmere Rovers 2-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Wimbledon as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring.

Under the surface, AFC Wimbledon had 58% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 42%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.42 to 0.63.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 0.67 for Tranmere Rovers.

AFC Wimbledon vs Tranmere Rovers Result & Final Score

AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AFC Wimbledon vs Tranmere Rovers Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 50%, draw 28%, Tranmere Rovers 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Wimbledon), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✓ BTTS No
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