Coventry 1-0 Bristol City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.96
6+ Goals
10%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 31% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.53
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.31
X/2
18%
6.1
X/X
12%
4.1
2/1
11%
29.5
2/2
11%
4.38
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.39/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.35
+10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.9 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Bristol City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.05 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
350 Passes 295
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Bristol City Bristol City 1-1 HT 1-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
13.08.2024 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNLK
30.01.2024 Coventry Coventry 2-2 HT 1-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
21.10.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 1-0 HT 1-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
01.01.2023 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 1-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
04.10.2022 Bristol City Bristol City 0-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
1-0
AWAY Bristol City
0.91 xG 0.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
362 Passes 249
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Bristol City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry squeezed past Bristol City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Coventry made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Coventry had 55% of the ball to Bristol City's 45%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.91 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Coventry and 0.83 for Bristol City.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Bristol City?

Coventry 1-0 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Bristol City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Coventry 36%, draw 30%, Bristol City 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coventry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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