West Bromwich 1-1 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 18 Jan 2025

West Bromwich
1-1 HT 0-1
Stoke City
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

West Bromwich vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 30% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.67
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
13%
4.38
X/2 EV+ ✗
16%
7.45
X/X
12%
4.49
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
9%
5.99
2/X
6%
15.15
Value flag · X/2 at 7.45 — our 16% vs market 9.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

West Bromwich v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.58/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.39
-1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.9 Crosses 18.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

West Bromwich vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stoke City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.43 xG 1.32
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
352 Passes 331
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Stoke City Stoke City 1-2 HT 1-2 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
06.04.2024 Stoke City Stoke City 2-2 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
17.12.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-1 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
08.08.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 2-1 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNLK
15.04.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 1-2 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
12.11.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-0 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL

West Bromwich 1-1 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich
1-1
AWAY Stoke City
1.74 xG 1.08
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 0
449 Passes 201
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
49 Box Touches 13
33 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH West Bromwich vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich and Stoke City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was West Bromwich at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, West Bromwich had 64% of the ball to Stoke City's 36%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 1.74 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Bromwich had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for West Bromwich and 1.17 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of West Bromwich vs Stoke City?

West Bromwich 1-1 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 46%, draw 25%, Stoke City 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (West Bromwich), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
18 Jan 2025
15:30 Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers Analysis →
15:30 Millwall vs Hull City Analysis →
15:30 Cardiff City vs Swansea City Analysis →
18:00 Sheffield United vs Norwich City Analysis →
18:00 Oxford United vs Blackburn Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Coventry vs Bristol City Analysis →