Cardiff City vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff City v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff City vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Swansea City
İNCL
2-3
HT 1-2
Swansea City
İNCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
0-4
HT 0-1
Swansea City
İNCL
Cardiff City 3-0 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics
Cardiff City ran out comfortable winners over Swansea City 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Cardiff City found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Cardiff City had 30% of the ball to Swansea City's 70%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.85 to 0.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cardiff City and 2.00 for Swansea City.
What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Swansea City?
Cardiff City 3-0 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Swansea City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 38%, draw 27%, Swansea City 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.