Oxford United 1-0 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.49
6+ Goals
10%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.04
1/2
10%
30.0
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
9%
6.36
X/2
16%
4.76
X/X
12%
4.0
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.24
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 45%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.02/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.16
+27% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -24%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
240 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 77%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
10.5 Crosses 14.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.86 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
416 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Oxford United Oxford United İNCL
05.05.2018 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
21.11.2017 Oxford United Oxford United 2-4 HT 1-3 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İN1
30.01.2016 Oxford United Oxford United 0-3 HT 0-2 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
1-0
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.30 xG 0.91
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
389 Passes 304
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford United edged past Blackburn Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Blackburn Rovers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Oxford United had 55% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 45%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.30 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Oxford United and 2.75 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Blackburn Rovers?

Oxford United 1-0 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 32%, draw 26%, Blackburn Rovers 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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