Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.83
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
16%
5.57
X/2
12%
5.66
X/X
13%
4.23
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
12%
3.93
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.04/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.18
+29% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
16.4 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.71 xG 1.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
262 Passes 424
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 42
12 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-1 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
09.04.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
13.12.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
05.09.2020 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-2 HT 1-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNLK
09.03.2010 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
15.08.2009 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
0-1
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
0.21 xG 2.90
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
264 Passes 302
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers squeezed past Plymouth Argyle 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Plymouth Argyle at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 47% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 53%, shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.21 to 2.90 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Queens Park Rangers's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.17 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers?

Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 43%, draw 26%, Queens Park Rangers 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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