AFC Totton 2-1 Gosport Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.23
Over Pick
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
64%
-11.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.6pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Gosport Borough The Market 20%
-3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.64/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/2.27
+27% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -14%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Totton
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gosport Borough
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
27.01.2024 AFC Totton AFC Totton 1-1 HT 0-1 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
27.09.2023 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Totton
2-1
AWAY Gosport Borough
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Gosport Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton nicked a narrow win over Gosport Borough 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AFC Totton had 57% of the ball to Gosport Borough's 43%, shots finished 20-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gosport Borough led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AFC Totton and 1.50 for Gosport Borough.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Gosport Borough?

AFC Totton 2-1 Gosport Borough in the England - Non League Premier on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Gosport Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 52%, draw 25%, Gosport Borough 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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