Gainsborough Trinity 0-4 Macclesfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.95
Over
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No Pick
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
45%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
25%
+9.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Macclesfield The Market 56%
+12% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.01/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.98
-25% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Macclesfield
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2024 Macclesfield Macclesfield 2-0 HT 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
23.12.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-3 HT 1-2 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
19.08.2023 Macclesfield Macclesfield 3-0 HT 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
0-4
AWAY Macclesfield
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Macclesfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield swept aside Gainsborough Trinity 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Macclesfield as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 47% of the ball to Macclesfield's 53%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Macclesfield led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 2.67 for Macclesfield.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Macclesfield?

Gainsborough Trinity 0-4 Macclesfield in the England - Non League Premier on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Macclesfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 35%, draw 22%, Macclesfield 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macclesfield), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✓ BTTS No
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