Guiseley 1-0 Basford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.03
Over Pick
64%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.85
No
38%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
38%
4-5
29%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
61%
-2.9pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
45%
-9.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
55%
+9.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
50%
+11.6pp
38%
BTTS No
50%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Basford United The Market 21%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -19%
1.85/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.35
-12% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
436 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Basford United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2024 Basford United Basford United 0-2 HT 0-2 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
23.12.2023 Basford United Basford United 0-1 HT 0-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
19.08.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 2-1 HT 1-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guiseley
1-0
AWAY Basford United
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Basford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley edged past Basford United 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guiseley as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guiseley had 50% of the ball to Basford United's 50%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guiseley had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guiseley and 0.33 for Basford United.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Basford United?

Guiseley 1-0 Basford United in the England - Non League Premier on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Basford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 58%, draw 18%, Basford United 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guiseley) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guiseley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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