18/01/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-2
Marlow vs Plymouth Parkway Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over Pick
56%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
31%
4-5
30%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
32%
22%
Draw
23%
38%
Away Win
45%
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
46%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marlow v Plymouth Parkway — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marlow
The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Plymouth Parkway
The Market 49%
-7% /
-7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-28% /
-28%
1.26/2.12
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.37/1.31
-12%
/
-28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-77%
/
+5%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
5
264 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
343 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.3
Yellow Cards
2.2
Marlow vs Plymouth Parkway Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Marlow
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Plymouth Parkway
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
5.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Marlow vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Plymouth Parkway beat Marlow 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Plymouth Parkway found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Marlow vs Plymouth Parkway?
Marlow 0-2 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marlow vs Plymouth Parkway?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marlow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marlow 40%, draw 22%, Plymouth Parkway 38%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Marlow)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
18 Jan 2025