Swindon Supermarine 1-0 Chertsey Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Supermarine The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chertsey Town The Market 40%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.06/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.97
+33% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Supermarine
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chertsey Town
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Chertsey Town Chertsey Town 3-4 HT 1-3 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Swindon Supermarine vs Chertsey Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine nicked a narrow win over Chertsey Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Swindon Supermarine as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Swindon Supermarine vs Chertsey Town?

Swindon Supermarine 1-0 Chertsey Town in the England - Non League Premier on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Supermarine vs Chertsey Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Supermarine win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Swindon Supermarine 42%, draw 27%, Chertsey Town 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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