Basel 1-1 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 18 Jan 2026

Basel
1-1 HT 1-0
Sion
📅18/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
12%
9.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.46
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.7
X/2
10%
8.43
X/X
11%
5.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.25
2/2
11%
6.05
2/X
5%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.0pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.85/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.51
+0% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.4 Crosses 20.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sion
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.48 xG 1.06
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
394 Passes 313
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Sion Sion 0-1 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
01.03.2025 Basel Basel 2-0 HT 2-0 Sion Sion İSV
26.01.2025 Basel Basel 4-1 HT 1-1 Sion Sion İSV
04.12.2024 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 1-2 Sion Sion İSVK
31.08.2024 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
27.04.2023 Sion Sion 1-2 HT 1-2 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
1-1
AWAY Sion
0.93 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
418 Passes 395
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Basel vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel and Sion couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Basel at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Basel had 51% of the ball to Sion's 49%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.93 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Basel and 0.83 for Sion.

What was the final score of Basel vs Sion?

Basel 1-1 Sion in the Switzerland - Super League on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Basel 48%, draw 25%, Sion 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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