Grasshoppers 1-3 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.14
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
9.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.31
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
1/X
7%
12.25
X/1
13%
6.8
X/2
11%
5.64
X/X
9%
5.09
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
20%
3.21
2/X
6%
12.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
33%
+4.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.32/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.61
+25% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
19.0 Crosses 14.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Thun
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.50 xG 2.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
216 Passes 275
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2025 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
13.09.2024 Thun Thun 0-2 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSVK
31.05.2024 Thun Thun 1-2 HT 1-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSVP
26.05.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSVP
18.09.2021 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSVK
23.04.2021 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3-1 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
1-3
AWAY Thun
0.41 xG 1.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 9
208 Passes 193
63% Pass Accuracy 63%
12 Box Touches 40
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun saw off Grasshoppers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Thun made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 51% of the ball to Thun's 49%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.41 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grasshoppers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grasshoppers and 0.83 for Thun.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Thun?

Grasshoppers 1-3 Thun in the Switzerland - Super League on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 38%, draw 22%, Thun 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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