Perugia 0-1 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.51
Over
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.12
No
54%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.2
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
19%
5.14
6+
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio The Market 29%
+11% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.85/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.08
+41% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gubbio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.09.2025 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 1-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
20.01.2025 Gubbio Gubbio 1-0 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
15.09.2024 Perugia Perugia 1-1 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
17.03.2024 Gubbio Gubbio 0-1 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
12.11.2023 Perugia Perugia 1-0 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
17.03.2021 Gubbio Gubbio 3-2 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
0-1
AWAY Gubbio
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Perugia vs Gubbio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gubbio squeezed past Perugia 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

A gentle 48% lean on Perugia didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 62% to 38% in Perugia's favour, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Perugia against 1.00 for Gubbio.

Perugia vs Gubbio Result & Final Score

Perugia 0-1 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Perugia vs Gubbio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Perugia 48%, draw 27%, Gubbio 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Perugia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perugia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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