Roma (K) 2-1 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
74%
-5.9pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.5pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.2pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
2.10/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.67
+32% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
24.1 Crosses 13.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.93 xG 0.82
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 226
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
35 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2025 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTSKK
24.11.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
14.09.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
01.05.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 5-6 HT 1-3 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
23.03.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
13.02.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
2-1
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
0.81 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
264 Passes 240
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) squeezed past Sassuolo (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Roma (K) had 52% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 48%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.81 to 1.41 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sassuolo (K).

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Roma (K) and 1.17 for Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Roma (K) 2-1 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 69%, draw 21%, Sassuolo (K) 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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