Almere City 2-0 De Graafschap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Jan 2026

Almere City
2-0 HT 0-0
De Graafschap
📅18/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Almere City vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.14
Over 2.5
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.32
No
34%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.64
2-3 Goals
36%
2.28
4-5 Goals
29%
2.33
6+ Goals
17%
4.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.51
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
4%
12.1
X/1
14%
5.5
X/2
10%
8.33
X/X
8%
7.03
2/1
6%
18.3
2/2
15%
4.77
2/X
9%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 66% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.6pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.2pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almere City v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.76/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.41
+16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
22.0 Crosses 18.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Almere City vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY De Graafschap
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.13 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 Passes 305
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.09.2025 De Graafschap De Graafschap 3-2 HT 3-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
20.01.2023 Almere City Almere City 2-2 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
16.09.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-2 HT 1-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
21.01.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-0 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
10.10.2021 Almere City Almere City 1-2 HT 0-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
23.04.2021 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-2 HT 1-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2

Almere City 2-0 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
2-0
AWAY De Graafschap
2.92 xG 1.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
25 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 5
280 Passes 418
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
38 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Almere City vs De Graafschap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almere City saw off De Graafschap 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Almere City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Almere City had 43% of the ball to De Graafschap's 57%, shots finished 25-13, expected goals 2.92 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Almere City and 1.83 for De Graafschap.

What was the final score of Almere City vs De Graafschap?

Almere City 2-0 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs De Graafschap?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Almere City 48%, draw 21%, De Graafschap 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almere City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almere City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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