FC Eindhoven 0-2 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.88
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
9%
6.34
X/2
11%
5.75
X/X
11%
5.55
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
24%
3.34
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.0pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.30/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.29
-12% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.8 Crosses 23.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Willem II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.81 xG 1.85
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
272 Passes 465
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2025 Willem II Willem II 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
08.03.2024 Willem II Willem II 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
13.08.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
15.07.2023 Willem II Willem II 4-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HAZ
06.02.2023 Willem II Willem II 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
18.10.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
0-2
AWAY Willem II
1.09 xG 2.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
378 Passes 391
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 23
30 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II saw off FC Eindhoven 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Willem II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 50% of the ball to Willem II's 50%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.09 to 2.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Eindhoven and 1.83 for Willem II.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Willem II?

FC Eindhoven 0-2 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 32%, draw 25%, Willem II 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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