Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Den Bosch v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals
Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
Den Bosch 1-2 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics
MVV Maastricht edged past Den Bosch 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Den Bosch at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Den Bosch had 57% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 43%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.93 to 0.51 — the balance of chances actually favoured Den Bosch.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Den Bosch and 2.17 for MVV Maastricht.
What was the final score of Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht?
Den Bosch 1-2 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht?
Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 61%, draw 20%, MVV Maastricht 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Den Bosch) went the other way.