MVV Maastricht vs Den Bosch Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MVV Maastricht v Den Bosch — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs Den Bosch Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
3-3
HT 2-1
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
MVV Maastricht 2-4 Den Bosch — Actual Match Statistics
Den Bosch beat MVV Maastricht 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Den Bosch found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, MVV Maastricht had 45% of the ball to Den Bosch's 55%, shots finished 18-22, expected goals 1.73 to 2.09.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.33 for Den Bosch.
What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Den Bosch?
MVV Maastricht 2-4 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Den Bosch?
Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 39%, draw 23%, Den Bosch 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MVV Maastricht) went the other way.