Helmond Sport 2-1 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 16 Sep 2025

📅16/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
28%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.36
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.44
X/2
7%
8.16
X/X
7%
5.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.05
2/2
9%
5.94
2/X
5%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+3.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.48/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.46
+6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
17.3 Crosses 16.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Utrecht II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 Passes 313
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.12.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 3-1 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
09.08.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 1-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
08.03.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
06.10.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 4-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
24.02.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
09.09.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 2-0 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
2-1
AWAY Utrecht II
0.48 xG 0.88
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
277 Passes 316
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport nicked a narrow win over Utrecht II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Helmond Sport as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 48% of the ball to Utrecht II's 52%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.48 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.00 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs Utrecht II?

Helmond Sport 2-1 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 55%, draw 20%, Utrecht II 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helmond Sport), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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