FC Oss 2-1 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 16 Sep 2025

📅16/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.77
6+ Goals
13%
7.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.47
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.5
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
14%
5.79
X/2
13%
5.9
X/X
10%
5.38
2/1
6%
24.1
2/2
21%
3.59
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.5 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.0pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +7%
1.37/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.26
+1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
21.6 Crosses 20.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
3W-1D-2L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.45
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
230 Passes 385
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2025 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
06.12.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
29.03.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
15.12.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 2-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
24.02.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
26.08.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 1-2 HT 1-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
2-1
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.27 xG 1.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 11
231 Passes 333
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Oss squeezed past VVV-Venlo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was VVV-Venlo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, FC Oss had 43% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 57%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.27 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Oss had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Oss and 1.00 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs VVV-Venlo?

FC Oss 2-1 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated an VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 35%, draw 22%, VVV-Venlo 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VVV-Venlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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