Gzira United 3-0 Marsaxlokk FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 46%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.00/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.67
-100% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2025 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
21.02.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MALTP
08.12.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 0-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
18.08.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
18.08.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
06.04.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gzira United
3-0
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United swept aside Marsaxlokk FC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gzira United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gzira United had 46% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 54%, shots finished 14-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsaxlokk FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gzira United and 0.83 for Marsaxlokk FC.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Gzira United 3-0 Marsaxlokk FC in the MALTP on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 34%, draw 28%, Marsaxlokk FC 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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