Crotone 2-2 Taranto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.48
Over
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.19
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
18%
5.54
6+
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Taranto The Market 26%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.45/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.08
-1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
447 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Taranto
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.10.2023 Taranto Taranto 2-1 HT 2-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
02.04.2023 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 1-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
30.11.2022 Taranto Taranto 2-2 HT 2-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
2-2
AWAY Taranto
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Taranto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone and Taranto shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crotone had 62% of the ball to Taranto's 38%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crotone and 1.33 for Taranto.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Taranto?

Crotone 2-2 Taranto in the Italy - Serie C on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Taranto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crotone 39%, draw 30%, Taranto 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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