SSC Giugliano 1-0 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.41
6+ Goals
9%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +6%
1.53/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.40
+15% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
0W-1D-2L
AWAY ACR Messina
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.10.2023 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-0 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
01.02.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-2 HT 2-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
01.10.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-0 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
1-0
AWAY ACR Messina
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano edged past ACR Messina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SSC Giugliano as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 59% of the ball to ACR Messina's 41%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, ACR Messina led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SSC Giugliano and 1.33 for ACR Messina.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs ACR Messina?

SSC Giugliano 1-0 ACR Messina in the Italy - Serie C on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Giugliano win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 44%, draw 28%, ACR Messina 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SSC Giugliano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SSC Giugliano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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