Vis Pesaro 4-0 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.2
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -12%
0.83/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.27
-24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Pescara
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.10.2023 Pescara Pescara 0-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
05.10.2022 Pescara Pescara 6-0 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTCK
23.02.2022 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-2 HT 0-1 Pescara Pescara İTC
12.09.2021 Pescara Pescara 2-2 HT 1-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
4-0
AWAY Pescara
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro ran out comfortable winners over Pescara 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pescara at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 44% of the ball to Pescara's 56%, shots finished 7-18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pescara led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vis Pesaro and 2.50 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Pescara?

Vis Pesaro 4-0 Pescara in the Italy - Serie C on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 28%, draw 31%, Pescara 41%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Pescara), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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