Kampala City 2-1 BUL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 18 Feb 2026

📅18/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.11
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
31%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
52%
+5.3pp
21%
Draw
29%
-8.1pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.2pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY BUL EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +17%
1.37/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.94
-5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kampala City
2W-1D-1L
AWAY BUL
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2025 BUL BUL 1-2 HT 1-0 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
12.04.2025 Kampala City Kampala City 1-2 HT 0-1 BUL BUL UGA
20.09.2024 BUL BUL 1-1 HT 0-0 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
01.12.2021 Kampala City Kampala City 3-1 HT 1-0 BUL BUL UGA
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs BUL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City edged past BUL 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kampala City had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Kampala City and 1.25 for BUL.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs BUL?

Kampala City 2-1 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 18/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs BUL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 57%, draw 21%, BUL 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kampala City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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