Rochdale 2-3 Boston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Mar 2025

Rochdale
2-3 HT 0-2
Boston United
📅18/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Rochdale vs Boston United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 30% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
17%
3.97
X/2
8%
10.05
X/X
13%
5.08
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
11%
8.5
2/X
8%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rochdale v Boston United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston United EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.09/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
+20% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
218 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Rochdale vs Boston United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Boston United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.02 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
294 Passes 237
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Boston United Boston United 0-3 HT 0-2 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
16.12.2019 Boston United Boston United 1-2 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale FAK
01.12.2019 Rochdale Rochdale 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United FAK
30.12.2006 Rochdale Rochdale 4-0 HT 1-0 Boston United Boston United İN2
23.09.2006 Boston United Boston United 0-3 HT 0-2 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
28.01.2006 Rochdale Rochdale 1-1 HT 1-1 Boston United Boston United İN2
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Boston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston United squeezed past Rochdale 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rochdale at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rochdale had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rochdale and 0.33 for Boston United.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Boston United?

Rochdale 2-3 Boston United in the England - National League on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Boston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 50%, draw 26%, Boston United 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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