AFC Fylde 1-2 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Mar 2025

AFC Fylde
1-2 HT 1-0
Sutton United
📅18/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

AFC Fylde vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
9.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 25% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.38
1/2
6%
22.1
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
10%
7.67
X/2
15%
4.75
X/X
11%
5.37
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
24%
2.59
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 51% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Fylde v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 52%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.42/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.92
+17% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
81 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 74 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.1

AFC Fylde vs Sutton United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sutton United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 2-0 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
04.11.2023 Sutton United Sutton United 2-1 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde FAK
10.12.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
01.12.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-2 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
25.08.2018 Sutton United Sutton United 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
07.04.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL

AFC Fylde 1-2 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
1-2
AWAY Sutton United
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United nicked a narrow win over AFC Fylde 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sutton United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 38% of the ball to Sutton United's 62%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AFC Fylde and 1.17 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Sutton United?

AFC Fylde 1-2 Sutton United in the England - National League on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 30%, draw 26%, Sutton United 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sutton United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
18 Mar 2025
22:45 Altrincham vs Wealdstone Analysis →
22:45 Maidenhead United vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
22:45 Gateshead vs Braintree Town Analysis →
22:45 Halifax Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →
22:45 Rochdale vs Boston United Analysis →