Gateshead 1-3 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Mar 2025

Gateshead
1-3 HT 1-0
Braintree Town
📅18/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Gateshead vs Braintree Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
9.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.07
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
13%
4.24
X/2
11%
10.1
X/X
9%
5.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.45
2/2
14%
7.8
2/X
7%
15.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-14.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+12.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gateshead v Braintree Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
2.29/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.70
+33% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Gateshead vs Braintree Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Braintree Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-2 HT 2-2 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
30.03.2019 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
15.09.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 0-1 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
17.12.2016 Gateshead Gateshead 1-1 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
10.09.2016 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-4 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
16.04.2016 Gateshead Gateshead 2-3 HT 1-2 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL

Gateshead 1-3 Braintree Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
1-3
AWAY Braintree Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
1 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braintree Town got the better of Gateshead 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gateshead had 61% of the ball to Braintree Town's 39%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Braintree Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gateshead and 1.67 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Braintree Town?

Gateshead 1-3 Braintree Town in the England - National League on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 43%, draw 25%, Braintree Town 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gateshead) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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