Maidenhead United 0-1 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Mar 2025

📅18/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
8%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 28% vs market 22.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.31
1/2
10%
24.7
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
14%
6.38
X/2
13%
5.25
X/X
9%
4.89
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
18%
3.19
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -26%
1.25/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.75
-9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
105 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 119 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aldershot Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 4-3 HT 1-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
29.03.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 4-0 HT 2-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
24.10.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 4-2 HT 2-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
14.03.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 1-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
12.11.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
02.05.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-2 HT 2-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
0-1
AWAY Aldershot Town
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
0 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town squeezed past Maidenhead United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aldershot Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 57% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 43%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Maidenhead United and 2.00 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Aldershot Town?

Maidenhead United 0-1 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 34%, draw 25%, Aldershot Town 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aldershot Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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