Spennymoor Town 1-0 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Mar 2025

📅18/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.25/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.87
+28% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Needham Market
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Needham Market Needham Market 1-1 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
1-0
AWAY Needham Market
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town edged past Needham Market 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Spennymoor Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 52% of the ball to Needham Market's 48%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Needham Market?

Spennymoor Town 1-0 Needham Market in the England - Conference on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 48%, draw 26%, Needham Market 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✗ BTTS Yes
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