Curzon Ashton 1-1 Radcliffe Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Mar 2025

📅18/03/2025 · 🕒22:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.95
Over 2.5
40%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.2
6+ Goals
8%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 33% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.69/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.22
+5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2025 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 1-2 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
23.11.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
1-1
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Radcliffe Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton and Radcliffe Borough shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Curzon Ashton at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 49% of the ball to Radcliffe Borough's 51%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.00 for Radcliffe Borough.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Radcliffe Borough?

Curzon Ashton 1-1 Radcliffe Borough in the England - Conference on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Radcliffe Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 42%, draw 28%, Radcliffe Borough 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Curzon Ashton), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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