Welling United 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Mar 2025

Welling United
1-2 HT 0-0
Hemel Hempstead Town
📅18/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Welling United vs Hemel Hempstead Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 31% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.2pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.5pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Welling United v Hemel Hempstead Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.27/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.21
-5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Welling United vs Hemel Hempstead Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 4-2 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
27.01.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
12.08.2023 Welling United Welling United 0-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
28.02.2023 Welling United Welling United 0-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
20.08.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-3 HT 2-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
26.02.2022 Welling United Welling United 1-2 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON

Welling United 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welling United
1-2
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town nicked a narrow win over Welling United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Hemel Hempstead Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Welling United had 44% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 56%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Welling United and 1.83 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Welling United 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Welling United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Welling United 36%, draw 33%, Hemel Hempstead Town 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Welling United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Welling United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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