South Shields 1-2 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Mar 2025

📅18/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.05
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
8.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 29% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.3pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Shields EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.25/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.38
-17% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Shields
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Oxford City
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
24.08.2024 Oxford City Oxford City 1-4 HT 1-1 South Shields South Shields İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South Shields
1-2
AWAY Oxford City
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH South Shields vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford City nicked a narrow win over South Shields 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Oxford City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, South Shields had 53% of the ball to Oxford City's 47%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of South Shields vs Oxford City?

South Shields 1-2 Oxford City in the England - Conference on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Shields vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Shields win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split South Shields 39%, draw 25%, Oxford City 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (South Shields) ✗ BTTS No
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