Alfreton Town 1-1 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Mar 2025

📅18/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
28%
+9.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.46/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.18
-3% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
258 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfreton Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Darlington 1883
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.09.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
10.02.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-2 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
26.08.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-3 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
04.03.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
19.11.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 4-1 HT 3-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town FAK
08.11.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 3-1 HT 2-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
1-1
AWAY Darlington 1883
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town and Darlington 1883 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 51% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 49%, shots finished 18-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alfreton Town and 2.00 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Darlington 1883?

Alfreton Town 1-1 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated an Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 37%, draw 26%, Darlington 1883 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Darlington 1883) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✓ Under 2.5
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