Darlington 1883 0-0 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 31% vs market 29.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.17/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.64
-13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Alfreton Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-2 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
26.08.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-3 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
04.03.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
19.11.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 4-1 HT 3-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town FAK
08.11.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 3-1 HT 2-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
09.04.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
0-0
AWAY Alfreton Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 and Alfreton Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 60% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 40%, shots finished 5-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Darlington 1883 and 1.33 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Alfreton Town?

Darlington 1883 0-0 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 35%, draw 28%, Alfreton Town 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alfreton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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