Oxford City 1-4 South Shields — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY South Shields EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.10/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.50
+38% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
1-4
AWAY South Shields
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs South Shields
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Shields cruised past Oxford City 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Oxford City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Oxford City had 53% of the ball to South Shields's 47%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs South Shields?

Oxford City 1-4 South Shields in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs South Shields?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 42%, draw 28%, South Shields 30%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oxford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oxford City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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