Phoenix Rising 4-0 San Ramon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.25
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
75%
-6.0pp
14%
Draw
16%
-1.2pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY San Ramon EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phoenix Rising
4-0
AWAY San Ramon
2.15 xG 0.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
313 Passes 424
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Phoenix Rising vs San Ramon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phoenix Rising swept aside San Ramon 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Phoenix Rising as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Phoenix Rising had 44% of the ball to San Ramon's 56%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.15 to 0.22.

What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs San Ramon?

Phoenix Rising 4-0 San Ramon in the USA - Open Cup on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs San Ramon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 69%, draw 14%, San Ramon 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Phoenix Rising) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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