Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Super Cup, 18 Mar 2026

Zenit St. Petersburg
1-0 HT 1-0
Makhachkala
📅18/03/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Russia - Super Cup – 2025/2026

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
16.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.67 — our 25% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.56
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
4%
23.5
X/1
20%
3.42
X/2
5%
18.2
X/X
9%
5.93
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
5%
18.15
2/X
7%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-5.3pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.7pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Makhachkala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 12%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+60% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.0 Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards –

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Makhachkala
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.96 xG 0.76
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
420 Passes 227
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.08.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 4-0 HT 2-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
03.07.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala HAZ
10.05.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 0-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
02.11.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 2-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Makhachkala — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1-0
AWAY Makhachkala
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg squeezed past Makhachkala 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 61% of the ball to Makhachkala's 39%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.25 for Makhachkala.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala?

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Makhachkala in the Russia - Super Cup on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 66%, draw 19%, Makhachkala 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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