Zenit St. Petersburg 4-0 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 23 Aug 2025

Zenit St. Petersburg
4-0 HT 2-0
Makhachkala
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 30% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.5
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
5%
22.35
X/1
23%
3.55
X/2
5%
19.8
X/X
6%
6.49
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
3%
19.1
2/X
5%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
72%
+1.1pp
16%
Draw
18%
-2.8pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.7pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Makhachkala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.33/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.79
+16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +50%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
440 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
38.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
24.0 Crosses 13.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Makhachkala
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.99 xG 0.72
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
404 Passes 228
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.07.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala HAZ
10.05.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 0-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
02.11.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 2-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS

Zenit St. Petersburg 4-0 Makhachkala — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
4-0
AWAY Makhachkala
1.90 xG 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
452 Passes 224
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg cruised past Makhachkala 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 63% of the ball to Makhachkala's 37%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.90 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.33 for Makhachkala.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala?

Zenit St. Petersburg 4-0 Makhachkala in the Russia - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 73%, draw 16%, Makhachkala 11%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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