Dinamo Moscow 3-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
13%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.64
2-3 Goals
34%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
7.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.68
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.75
X/1
18%
3.94
X/2
3%
13.8
X/X
13%
6.84
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.25
2/2
7%
11.05
2/X
6%
19.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.25 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.8pp
13%
Away Win
14%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.78/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.76
+5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +4%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
18.8 Crosses 13.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 1.30
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
471 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
09.11.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-1 HT 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
21.04.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-4 HT 0-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
02.11.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
15.09.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
25.07.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow cruised past Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.00 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Dinamo Moscow 3-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 61%, draw 26%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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