Rubin Kazan 0-2 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 31% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.13
1/2
9%
24.5
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
15%
6.94
X/2
14%
4.68
X/X
12%
4.75
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.8
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -18%
1.12/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.23
-15% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
14.2 Crosses 22.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.81 xG 1.46
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
200 Passes 396
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 2-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
31.08.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
19.05.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-1 HT 2-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
05.08.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-4 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
16.04.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-1 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
24.07.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
0-2
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.77 xG 1.35
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
147 Passes 560
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova saw off Rubin Kazan 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 26% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 74%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.77 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rubin Kazan and 1.67 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Spartak Moskova?

Rubin Kazan 0-2 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 32%, draw 25%, Spartak Moskova 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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