Chicago Fire II vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chicago Fire II v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire II 0-1 Indy Eleven — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven squeezed past Chicago Fire II 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Chicago Fire II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Chicago Fire II had 58% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 42%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.36 to 0.79 — on chances, Chicago Fire II could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Chicago Fire II vs Indy Eleven?
Chicago Fire II 0-1 Indy Eleven in the USA - Open Cup on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chicago Fire II vs Indy Eleven?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire II 41%, draw 26%, Indy Eleven 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chicago Fire II) went the other way.