Miami FC 2-4 Tormenta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tormenta EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
2-4
AWAY Tormenta
1.07 xG 1.52
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
329 Passes 485
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Tormenta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tormenta beat Miami FC 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Miami FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Miami FC had 43% of the ball to Tormenta's 57%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.07 to 1.52.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Tormenta?

Miami FC 2-4 Tormenta in the USA - Open Cup on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Tormenta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miami FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 41%, draw 27%, Tormenta 32%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Miami FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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