FC Tulsa 2-1 Northern Colorado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Northern Colorado EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tulsa
2-1
AWAY Northern Colorado
1.33 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
259 Passes 297
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Tulsa vs Northern Colorado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tulsa edged past Northern Colorado 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; FC Tulsa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Tulsa had 47% of the ball to Northern Colorado's 53%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.33 to 0.96.

What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Northern Colorado?

FC Tulsa 2-1 Northern Colorado in the USA - Open Cup on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Northern Colorado?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 36%, draw 30%, Northern Colorado 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tulsa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Tulsa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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