Hartford Athletic 2-3 New York City II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.64
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.59
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
57%
-16.6pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.1pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City II EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hartford Athletic vs New York City II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York City II squeezed past Hartford Athletic 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; New York City II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs New York City II?

Hartford Athletic 2-3 New York City II in the USA - Open Cup on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs New York City II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 40%, draw 29%, New York City II 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hartford Athletic), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartford Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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