North Carolina vs Carolina Core Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
North Carolina v Carolina Core — Team-Based Signals
North Carolina 1-0 Carolina Core — Actual Match Statistics
North Carolina squeezed past Carolina Core 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had North Carolina as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, North Carolina had 60% of the ball to Carolina Core's 40%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 2.18 to 0.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold North Carolina's control.
What was the final score of North Carolina vs Carolina Core?
North Carolina 1-0 Carolina Core in the USA - Open Cup on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Carolina Core?
Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 50%, draw 19%, Carolina Core 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Carolina) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.