Monterey Bay 2-1 Irvine Zeta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.51
Over Pick
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
40%
4-5
27%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterey Bay The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Irvine Zeta The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterey Bay
2-1
AWAY Irvine Zeta
1.64 xG 0.63
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
445 Passes 317
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Monterey Bay vs Irvine Zeta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterey Bay squeezed past Irvine Zeta 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monterey Bay as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Monterey Bay had 57% of the ball to Irvine Zeta's 43%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.64 to 0.63.

What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Irvine Zeta?

Monterey Bay 2-1 Irvine Zeta in the USA - Open Cup on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Irvine Zeta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 54%, draw 22%, Irvine Zeta 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterey Bay), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monterey Bay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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