Omiya Ardija (K) 0-4 Urawa Red (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
52%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.09
No
43%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.7pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.6pp
52%
Away Win
66%
-14.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
44%
+13.0pp
43%
BTTS No
56%
-13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 71%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.01
-100% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -60%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Urawa Red (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
07.01.2024 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0-4
AWAY Urawa Red (K)
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs Urawa Red (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red (K) cruised past Omiya Ardija (K) 4-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Urawa Red (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Omiya Ardija (K) had 40% of the ball to Urawa Red (K)'s 60%, shots finished 6-20.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs Urawa Red (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 0-4 Urawa Red (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs Urawa Red (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 22%, draw 26%, Urawa Red (K) 52%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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